What a summer we have had. Even hardy summer lovers have admitted to me that this one has been rather tough, with most of July and August seeing just a handful of days under 90 degrees. With the Autumnal Equinox occurring at the end of next week, are there any signs of a cool down?
While it is still technically summer, and summer heat is not necessarily abnormal in September, what is abnormal is consecutive days of 90s, as well as highs continuing to push close to 100 degrees. With all of this being said, what does fall look like as a whole?
For the months of October and November, I expect average daily temperatures to trend between five to ten degrees above the seasonal average for that given day. It should be noted that that does not necessarily mean we will not see cooler days. What this outlook is implying is that cooler days will not be the norm.
Average temperatures in October tend to run from the middle 70s at the beginning of the month to around 60 degrees by the end of the month. Highs ranging from the 40s to the 60s are what are generally normal for November. However, this fall, I expect October temperatures to hover around the 70s and 80s. I can’t rule out some 60s this October, as that is pretty standard around here. For November, I expect temperatures in the 50s and 60s for the most part, but some models show us cooling off pretty good around Thanksgiving.
Additionally, you may be wondering when you will need that ice scraper this year. Let’s just say the average first freeze is October 15, and we almost always see a freeze within five days of that date.
I would like to conclude with this autumn’s snowfall totals. Let’s begin by saying that my prediction for the first measurable snowfall is December 8. Between now and December 21, I expect to see 1-3 inches of measurable snowfall.
My favorite thing to do is study the weather. It is truly fascinating. Nothing beats a good thunderstorm. I became very interested in weather when I lived in Okinawa, Japan for four years and was actually inside a super typhoon.
Please check out my Facebook page for daily, local weather exclusive to Western Prince William County.
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